INSIGHTS
Policy clarity and market optimism are reviving Canada’s CO2-driven oil recovery projects
19 Jan 2026

Canada’s carbon capture story is picking up speed, and oil is still part of the plot. New federal and provincial policy cues are breathing life into carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery, nudging it out of the shadows and into a more visible role in the country’s emissions strategy.
For years, CO2-EOR sat in a gray zone. It worked, but it was rarely celebrated. That is changing as policymakers take a more pragmatic view of carbon capture and storage. In provinces like Saskatchewan, where CO2 injection has a long track record, political support has been open and consistent. Ottawa’s stance is more cautious. Enhanced oil recovery remains excluded from current federal investment tax credits, though that decision is under review. Even so, clearer long-term climate signals have eased some of the uncertainty that once stalled investment.
That clarity matters to operators weighing big, long-lived projects. Investment decisions are no longer driven only by immediate incentives. Many companies now see carbon management infrastructure as a strategic asset that could grow in value as climate rules tighten and carbon markets mature. What once looked marginal is starting to look optional, even necessary.
Whitecap Resources offers a useful case study. The company has been involved for years in the Weyburn project in southeastern Saskatchewan, one of the world’s most established CO2-EOR operations. Carbon dioxide captured from industrial sources is piped into aging oil fields, boosting output while storing emissions underground. The existence of dedicated pipelines and decades of operational data has made Weyburn a reference point for what scaled projects can look like.
That experience is reshaping how risk is judged. Industry analysts say companies are increasingly comfortable planning on multi-decade timelines, even without full certainty on federal incentives. At the same time, heavy industries under pressure to cut emissions are hunting for nearby, proven storage options. Oil fields that already handle CO2 offer a practical answer.
Skepticism remains. Questions about storage permanence, total capacity, and public trust are not going away. Operators will need to back claims with data. Still, the direction is hard to miss. CO2-EOR is no longer pitched as a cure-all, but as a bridge. In Canada’s evolving climate toolkit, that may be enough to bring it into the mainstream.
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